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Week 46 Friday, November 13, 2026

The world’s biggest legal disputes

Every live case is scored on what is at stake, its legal and public impact, and how recently it moved, and the index is ranked again each day. Edited by Roman Buzko and Robert Lynch.

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Live cases
100
In dispute
$1.4T
Jurisdictions
43
Latest event
Nov 11, 2026

This week

Biggest climb vs. last week Wintershall Dea v. Russia (II)55 to No. 35 Nov 2: Moscow court postpones suit to bar Poncet until January 2027 Biggest fall Texas v. BlackRock29 to No. 36 Oct 30: Judge trims claims on motion for judgment on the pleadings Latest ruling Trump v. BBCNov 10 Judge Kuntz denies BBC motion to dismiss Trump defamation claim Next up U.S. v. MaduroNov 17 Court sets argument on motions to dismiss indictment

Where the cases stand

From filing to enforcement. In arbitrations the steps read hearing, award and review, and in criminal cases charged, verdict and post-trial. 10 cases have a settlement awaiting approval. Select a step to filter the index.

The index

Dubai+31Netherlands+50Russia+57

All 100 cases

Rank Move Case Counsel Court Stage At stake Score 10 weeks AI forecast? Latest event
1 = U.S. v. Apple (Smartphones)U.S. and states say Apple’s ecosystem restrictions maintain a smartphone monopoly Pl.U.S. Department of Justice, Antitrust DivisionDef.Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher +1 D.N.J.2:24-cv-04055 Pre-trialD.N.J. Structural relief 85.7 40%Apple and DOJ file proposed settlement Oct 21
2 = Bank of Russia v. EuroclearBank of Russia seeks to enforce $250B Moscow judgment against Euroclear Pl.Not recordedDef.Not recorded Moscow District Arbitrazh Court EnforcementMoscow District Arbitrazh Court ~$250B judgment 80.1 62%Brussels court blocks Moscow judgment Nov 3
3 = Learning Resources v. TrumpImporters pursue refunds of tariffs the Supreme Court held IEEPA does not authorize Pl.Liberty Justice CenterDef.Office of the Solicitor General, U.S. Department of Justice U.S. Court of International Trade24-1287 EnforcementU.S. Court of International Trade $126B certified 76.6 32%Federal Circuit affirms refund orders Oct 29
4 = FTC v. AmazonFTC and states say Amazon illegally maintains its online marketplace monopoly Pl.U.S. Federal Trade CommissionDef.Williams & Connolly +2 W.D. Wash.2:23-cv-01495 Pre-trialW.D. Wash. Structural relief 75.0 44%†Court finds Amazon liable Oct 19
5 = Bank of Russia v. EURussia’s central bank challenges the EU’s indefinite freeze of its reserves Pl.C. Alter +1Def.Not recorded EU General Courtunknown Pre-trialEU General Court ~€210B immobilized 73.3 58%General Court dismisses bank’s action Sep 15
6 = Social Media Addiction MDLFamilies and school districts say social platforms addict and harm minors Pl.Seeger Weiss +2Def.Covington & Burling N.D. Cal.MDL No. 3047 (4:22-md-03047 Pre-trial SettlingN.D. Cal. $18.59B 73.9 54%†Meta agrees to broad mass settlement Nov 2
8 2 places upfrom 10 FTC v. MetaFTC seeks to revive its bid to unwind Meta’s Instagram and WhatsApp deals Pl.U.S. Federal Trade CommissionDef.Kellogg, Hansen, Todd, Figel & Frederick +1 D.C. Cir.1:20-cv-03590 AppealD.C. Cir. Structural relief 72.7 62%†D.C. Circuit affirms judgment for Meta Oct 20
9 1 places downfrom 8 UK Motor Finance Redress LitigationLenders and a consumer group challenge the UK regulator’s £7.5B car-finance redress scheme Pl.Courmacs LegalDef.Slaughter and May +1 Upper Tribunal[2025] UKSC 33 Pre-trial SettlingUpper Tribunal ~£7.5B 69.7 42%FCA scheme survives all challenges Nov 3
10 7 places upfrom 17 Eaton Fire LitigationVictims and Los Angeles County say Edison equipment sparked the Eaton Fire Pl.Lieff Cabraser Heimann & Bernstein +2Def.Hueston Hennigan Los Angeles County Superior Court25STCV00731 Pre-trialLos Angeles County Superior Court $10B–$45B 69.4 50%SCE settles bellwether claims Nov 3
11 = NYT v. OpenAI (Copyright MDL)News publishers say OpenAI and Microsoft built ChatGPT on their copyrighted work Pl.Susman Godfrey +1Def.Williams & Connolly +5 S.D.N.Y.1:25-md-03143 Pre-trialS.D.N.Y. Billions 67.0 35%†Split ruling or fair use left for trial Oct 23
12 = Labels v. SunoRecord labels accuse Suno of training its AI music models on their recordings Pl.Hueston HenniganDef.Latham & Watkins D. Mass.1:24-cv-11611 Pre-trialD. Mass. Statutory damages 65.5 44%†UMG and Sony settle with Suno Nov 2
13 = Google v. EC (Ad Tech)Google challenges €2.95B EU ad-tech fine while Brussels weighs divestiture Pl.Not recordedDef.European Commission EU General CourtAT.40670 AppealEU General Court €2.95B fine 65.1 47%†Commission accepts behavioral remedies Oct 14
14 = States v. Live NationStates seek Ticketmaster breakup after jury finds Live Nation monopolized ticketing Pl.Winston & Strawn +2Def.Latham & Watkins +1 S.D.N.Y.1:24-cv-03973-AS Decision SettlingS.D.N.Y. Structural relief 65.7 50%Court denies Live Nation’s motions Oct 21
15 = API v. James (NY Climate Superfund)New York appeals rulings that federal law preempts its $75B climate superfund Pl.Lehotsky Keller Cohn +1Def.New York State Office of the Attorney General 2d Cir.1:25-cv-00168 Appeal2d Cir. $75B 67.5 60%Second Circuit affirms, Act stays void Oct 23
16 2 places upfrom 18 Camp Lejeune Water LitigationVeterans and families seek damages from the U.S. over contaminated Camp Lejeune water Pl.Bell Legal GroupDef.U.S. Department of Justice, Civil Division E.D.N.C.7:23-cv-897 (E.D.N.C. Trial SettlingE.D.N.C. ~$21B 66.2 54%Bellwether plaintiff wins damages Nov 9
17 13 places upfrom 30 Authors Guild v. OpenAIAuthors say OpenAI and Microsoft copied their books to train GPT models Pl.Lieff Cabraser Heimann & Bernstein +2Def.Latham & Watkins +2 S.D.N.Y.1:23-cv-08292 Pre-trialS.D.N.Y. Billions 66.1 35%†Split ruling or fair use left open Oct 30
18 2 places upfrom 20 Yukos v. RussiaFormer Yukos shareholders seek to enforce expropriation awards worth over $66B against Russia Cl.Gaillard Banifatemi Shelbaya DisputesResp.White & Case English Court of AppealAA 226 EnforcementEnglish Court of Appeal $66B+ 67.6 64%Russia’s English appeal fails Nov 9
19 3 places downfrom 16 Roundup LitigationTens of thousands allege Roundup caused their cancer as a class settlement awaits approval Pl.Weitz & Luxenberg +2Def.Sidley Austin N.D. Cal.MDL No. 2741 Pre-trial SettlingN.D. Cal. $18B+ 61.3 74%Boyer grants final approval Nov 2
20 1 places downfrom 19 Shale Oil Antitrust LitigationFuel buyers accuse shale producers of conspiring with OPEC to cut output Pl.Spector Roseman & Kodroff +5Def.Not recorded D.N.M.MDL No. 3119 Pre-trialD.N.M. Unquantified 63.2 48%A producer settles with the purchasers Oct 8
21 = NFL Sunday Ticket LitigationSubscribers say the NFL inflated Sunday Ticket prices to protect network broadcasts Pl.Susman GodfreyDef.Wilkinson Stekloff +1 9th Cir.2:15-ml-02668 Pre-trial9th Cir. Billions 61.2 60%NFL review bid fails Oct 30
22 = Epic v. GoogleFortnite maker’s antitrust fight forces Google to open the Play Store Pl.Cravath, Swaine & Moore +1Def.Munger Tolles & Olson N.D. Cal.3:20-cv-05671 EnforcementN.D. Cal. Structural relief 63.1 79%†Injunction stands, no violation found Oct 27
23 = Epic v. AppleApple fights contempt finding over App Store anti-steering injunction at Supreme Court Pl.Cravath, Swaine & MooreDef.Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher +1 U.S. Supreme Court4:20-cv-05640 AppealU.S. Supreme Court Injunctive relief 63.6 62%Supreme Court reverses or vacates Nov 2
24 = AFFF Firefighting Foam MDLPlaintiffs allege PFAS in firefighting foam caused cancer and other diseases Pl.Douglas & London +3Def.Not recorded D.S.C.MDL No. 2873 Pre-trial SettlingD.S.C. $21B+ 62.5 74%3M injury deal takes effect Nov 4
25 = U.S. v. Google (Ad Tech)Court orders behavioral fixes after finding Google monopolized ad tech markets Pl.U.S. Department of Justice, Antitrust DivisionDef.Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer +1 E.D. Va.1:23-cv-00108 DecisionE.D. Va. Injunctive relief 61.7 40%†Fourth Circuit affirms Google liability Oct 2
26 = Payment Card Interchange Fee LitigationMerchants allege Visa and Mastercard fixed swipe fees, and objectors fight a proposed settlement CounselRobbins Geller Rudman & Dowd +2 E.D.N.Y.1:05-md-01720 Pre-trial SettlingE.D.N.Y. ~$38B 62.3 64%Cogan grants final approval Oct 16
27 = Kashagan Consortium v. KazakhstanKashagan partners challenge Kazakhstan’s sulfur fine as the state presses production-sharing claims Cl.Not recordedResp.Not recorded Ad hoc arbitral tribunal Pre-hearingAd hoc arbitral tribunal $150B+ 59.5 37%Kazakhstan and partners settle fine Oct 22
28 = ConocoPhillips v. VenezuelaConocoPhillips enforces final ICSID award over Venezuela’s 2007 oil expropriation Cl.Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer +1Resp.Curtis, Mallet-Prevost, Colt & Mosle +1 3d Cir.ARB/07/30 Enforcement3d Cir. $8.5B 61.0 60%Third Circuit affirms Citgo sale order Oct 21
29 = Gormsen v. MetaFacebook users seek about £3B over Meta’s alleged uncompensated harvesting of their data Pl.Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan UK +5Def.Herbert Smith Freehills Kramer +3 Competition Appeal Tribunal1433/7/7/22 Pre-trialCompetition Appeal Tribunal ~£3B 61.1 63%†User damages ruling stands Nov 5
30 1 places upfrom 31 Disney & Universal v. MidjourneyHollywood studios accuse Midjourney of generating their copyrighted characters on demand Pl.Jenner & BlockDef.Cooley C.D. Cal.2:25-cv-05275-JAK-AJR Pre-trialC.D. Cal. Statutory damages 57.6 29%†Court denies Midjourney’s Cox motion Oct 5
31 1 places upfrom 32 Município de Mariana v. BHPBrazilian claimants seek damages from BHP over the 2015 Mariana dam collapse Pl.Pogust Goodhead +2Def.Herbert Smith Freehills Kramer English High Court[2025] EWHC 3001 DecisionEnglish High Court Up to £36B 58.7 64%No settlement by June 30, 2027 Oct 12
32 1 places upfrom 33 Buist v. AnthropicConsumers accuse four AI labs of illegally agreeing to slow development Pl.Trial Lawyers For Justice +3Def.Not recorded N.D. Cal.3:26-cv-10693 FiledN.D. Cal. Unquantified 58.6 30%†SpaceXAI claims leave the case Oct 27
33 2 places upfrom 35 FTC v. Amazon (Ad Auction)Regulators accuse Amazon of secretly rigging its ad-auction prices Pl.Federal Trade Commission +1Def.Dunn Isaacson Rhee +1 W.D. Wash.2:26-cv-03097 FiledW.D. Wash. $20B+ 59.6 †Insufficient evidence Sep 2026
34 2 places upfrom 36 House v. NCAA (Post-Settlement Appeals)Athlete groups appeal approval of $2.8B NCAA settlement, alleging Title IX violations Pl.Winston & Strawn +1Def.Not recorded 9th Cir.4:20-cv-03919 (N.D. Cal. Appeal9th Cir. $2.8B 60.9 56%Ninth Circuit affirms approval Nov 2026
35 55 places upfrom 90 Wintershall Dea v. Russia (II)Wintershall Dea claims Russia seized its Siberian gas stakes without adequate compensation Cl.Aurelius CottaResp.General Prosecutor's Office of the Russian Federation Arbitral tribunal administered by the Permanent Court of Arbitration2024-42 Pre-hearingArbitral tribunal administered by the Permanent Court of Arbitration €7.5B penalty 60.4 48%Wintershall wins liability award Nov 2Next Jan 18, 2027
36 29 places downfrom 7 Texas v. BlackRockStates accuse BlackRock and State Street of colluding to cut coal output Pl.The Buzbee Law Firm +1Def.Wilmer Cutler Pickering Hale and Dorr +4 E.D. Tex.6:24-cv-00437-JDK Pre-trialE.D. Tex. Unquantified 55.0 33%BlackRock and State Street both settle Oct 30
37 3 places downfrom 34 Concord v. AnthropicMusic publishers say Anthropic pirated and copied their lyrics to train Claude Pl.Oppenheim + ZebrakDef.WilmerHale +1 N.D. Cal.5:24-cv-03811 Pre-trialN.D. Cal. ~$3B 56.5 34%†Split ruling or both motions denied Oct 21
38 1 places downfrom 37 Apple v. Commission (DMA)Apple contests the EU’s €500M Digital Markets Act fine and iOS interoperability orders Pl.Freshfields Bruckhaus DeringerDef.European Commission EU General CourtT-1079/23 AppealEU General Court €500M fine 55.1 45%General Court upholds €500M fine Sep 18
39 1 places downfrom 38 TikTok v. Irish DPCTikTok disputes calculation of €530M GDPR fine over China data access Pl.Paul Gallagher SC +3Def.Francis Kieran High Court of Ireland[2026] IEHC 347 AppealHigh Court of Ireland €530M fine 56.5 34%CJEU backs DPC’s fining approach Sep 15
40 = AT1 Bondholders v. FINMABondholders fight Switzerland’s zeroing of $17B in Credit Suisse bonds Pl.Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan +1Def.Not recorded Swiss Federal Supreme CourtB-2334/2023 AppealSwiss Federal Supreme Court $17B 56.3 35%Supreme Court reinstates write-down Jul 16
41 = Raiffeisen v. RasperiaRaiffeisen seeks to recover Russian court losses from Rasperia’s frozen STRABAG shares Pl.Not recordedDef.Not recorded Vienna Regional Court for Civil Matters EnforcementVienna Regional Court for Civil Matters €3.15B 56.7 40%Austria releases shares to RBI Nov 4
42 44 places upfrom 86 Nord Stream 2 v. EUNord Stream 2 AG challenges EU gas laws in arbitration and the General Court Cl.3 Verulam BuildingsResp.Steptoe & Johnson Ad hoc tribunal administered by the Permanent Court of Arbitration2020-07 Pre-hearingAd hoc tribunal administered by the Permanent Court of Arbitration ~$8B 58.4 57%General Court upholds Nord Stream ban Nov 5
43 4 places downfrom 39 Petersen v. Argentina (YPF)Former YPF shareholders ask U.S. Supreme Court to revive $16.1B judgment Pl.Not recordedDef.Sullivan & Cromwell U.S. Supreme Court15-cv-02739 AppealU.S. Supreme Court $16.1B vacated 53.1 83%Supreme Court denies Petersen’s petition Oct 21
44 2 places downfrom 42 Elsevier v. MetaPublishers say Meta pirated their books and papers to train Llama Pl.Oppenheim + Zebrak +2Def.Dunn Isaacson Rhee +1 N.D. Cal.1:26-cv-03689 Pre-trialN.D. Cal. Statutory damages 51.7 28%†Claims against Zuckerberg survive Oct 2026
45 2 places downfrom 43 Pan-NOx Emissions Group LitigationUK diesel owners pursue defeat-device damages after High Court rejects most allegations Pl.Leigh Day +1Def.Herbert Smith Freehills Kramer +2 English High Court[2026] EWHC 1753 TrialEnglish High Court Unquantified 51.5 52%Claimants get permission to appeal Oct 8
46 2 places downfrom 44 U.S. v. StormProsecutors say Tornado Cash co-founder’s privacy protocol facilitated money laundering Pros.U.S. Attorney’s Office, S.D.N.Y.Def.Waymaker S.D.N.Y.1:23-cr-00430 TrialS.D.N.Y. Unquantified 53.5 45%Retrial of hung counts begins Oct 5
47 2 places downfrom 45 States v. USPS (Mail-Ballot Rule)States and voting groups fight Trump-directed USPS mail-ballot restrictions before midterms Pl.California Department of Justice, Office of the Attorney GeneralDef.U.S. Department of Justice D. Mass.26A305 Pre-trialD. Mass. Injunctive relief 55.1 40%First Circuit affirms injunction Sep 14
48 2 places downfrom 46 California v. EPA (CAA Waivers)California challenges EPA’s reclassification of its Clean Air Act waivers as rules Pl.California Department of Justice, Office of the Attorney GeneralDef.U.S. Department of Justice, Civil Division D.C. Cir.1:26-cv-02185-BAH AppealD.C. Cir. Unquantified 49.9 33%D.C. Circuit affirms injunction Nov 4
49 2 places downfrom 47 Próspera v. HondurasCharter city developers say Honduras expropriated their investment by repealing its ZEDE regime Cl.White & Case +1Resp.Foley Hoag +2 ICSIDARB/23/2 Pre-hearingICSID ~$1.63B 50.5 36%Próspera and Honduras settle Oct 7
50 2 places downfrom 48 South Africa v. IsraelSouth Africa accuses Israel of genocide in Gaza at the International Court of Justice Cl.Doughty Street ChambersResp.Essex Court Chambers International Court of JusticeGeneral List No. 192 Pre-trialInternational Court of Justice Unquantified 50.9 70%South Africa files Reply on schedule Sep 18
51 2 places downfrom 49 Apple v. Commission (Music Streaming)Apple challenges €1.84B EU fine over music streaming anti-steering rules Pl.Not recordedDef.Not recorded EU General CourtT-286/24 AppealEU General Court €1.84B fine 51.7 34%Court cuts fine or partly annuls Sep 4
52 2 places downfrom 50 Getty Images v. Stability AIGetty accuses Stability AI of copying its photos to build Stable Diffusion Pl.Weil, Gotshal & MangesDef.Morrison & Foerster English Court of AppealIL-2023-000007 AppealEnglish Court of Appeal Unquantified 51.9 46%†Court of Appeal dismisses Getty’s appeal Aug 18
53 2 places downfrom 51 New Jersey v. Amazon (DSP Monopsony)New Jersey accuses Amazon of exploiting monopsony power over delivery drivers Pl.Wilson Sonsini Goodrich & Rosati +1Def.Not recorded D.N.J.2:26-cv-09814 FiledD.N.J. Unquantified 53.2 †Insufficient evidence Oct 1
54 2 places downfrom 52 Aircraft Lessors v. Insurers (Russia)Insurers appeal ruling that war-risks cover pays for jets stranded in Russia Pl.Herbert Smith Freehills Kramer +2Def.Holman Fenwick Willan +3 English Court of AppealCL-2022-000294 AppealEnglish Court of Appeal ~$4.5B 50.9 42%War-risks insurers’ appeal fails Oct 5
55 2 places downfrom 53 WhatsApp v. NSO GroupNSO appeals liability and an injunction over Pegasus hacks of WhatsApp users Pl.Davis Polk & WardwellDef.King & Spalding N.D. Cal.4:19-cv-07123 AppealN.D. Cal. $4.45M judgment 50.5 55%†Ninth Circuit affirms WhatsApp’s win Oct 16
56 2 places downfrom 54 Like Company v. GoogleDoes training and running an AI chatbot infringe EU press copyright? Pl.Not recordedDef.Hengeler Mueller CJEUC-250/25 Pre-trialCJEU Unquantified 52.1 57%†CJEU issues split ruling Nov 3
57 2 places downfrom 55 Mercuria v. Baltic ExchangeMercuria seeks to invalidate the Baltic Exchange’s Hormuz tanker benchmark assessments Pl.Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & SullivanDef.Holman Fenwick Willan English High CourtFL-2026-000015 TrialEnglish High Court Unquantified 54.1 56%Baltic defeats Mercuria’s claim Nov 4
58 2 places downfrom 56 U.S. v. MaduroU.S. prosecutors accuse Nicolás Maduro of narco-terrorism as he claims head-of-state immunity Pros.US Attorney’s Office for the Southern District of New YorkDef.Harris St. Laurent & Wechsler +2 S.D.N.Y.S4 11-cr-00205 Pre-trialS.D.N.Y. Unquantified 52.5 66%Court denies all dismissal motions Oct 29Next Nov 17
59 2 places downfrom 57 Guyana v. Venezuela (Essequibo)Guyana defends the 1899 award giving it Essequibo, which Venezuela says is null Cl.Foley HoagResp.Not recorded International Court of JusticeICJ General List No. 171 TrialInternational Court of Justice Unquantified 52.6 75%Court upholds 1899 Award May 11
60 2 places upfrom 62 Nigeria v. BinanceNigeria accuses Binance of weakening the naira and evading taxes Pl.Moses Ideho +1Def.Chukwuka Ikwuazom, SAN Federal High Court, AbujaFHC/ABJ/CR/115/2024 Pre-trial SettlingFederal High Court, Abuja $81.5B 51.1 47%Nigeria and Binance settle tax case Jul 9
61 2 places upfrom 63 Musk v. OpenAIMusk appeals ruling that his claims over OpenAI’s for-profit shift are time-barred Pl.Toberoff & Associates +1Def.Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz N.D. Cal.4:24-cv-04722 AppealN.D. Cal. ~$150B 51.5 55%†Ninth Circuit affirms time-bar ruling May 18
62 2 places upfrom 64 Pampena v. MuskMusk appeals verdict that a 2022 tweet misled Twitter shareholders who sold Pl.Cotchett, Pitre & McCarthy +1Def.Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan 9th Cir.3:22-cv-05937-CRB Appeal9th Cir. ~$2.6B 53.1 34%Judgment stands on appeal Aug 4Next Nov 24
63 4 places upfrom 67 Amazon v. PerplexityAmazon says Perplexity’s Comet AI agent accesses customer accounts without its authorization Pl.Hueston HenniganDef.Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan N.D. Cal.3:25-cv-09514 Pre-trialN.D. Cal. Injunctive relief 52.1 29%†Court dismisses all computer claims Nov 3
64 10 places upfrom 74 NextEra and Blasket v. SpainInvestors seek to enforce unpaid Energy Charter Treaty awards against Spain in U.S. courts Cl.Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom +1Resp.Williams & Connolly D.C. Cir. EnforcementD.C. Cir. €1.5B+ 53.7 53%D.C. Circuit affirms all confirmations Nov 11
65 3 places upfrom 68 Trump v. BBCTrump accuses the BBC of defaming him with an edited January 6 speech clip Pl.BritoDef.Ballard Spahr S.D. Fla.1:25-cv-25894 Pre-trialS.D. Fla. $5B 50.8 27%BBC wins judgment or dismissal Nov 10
66 6 places upfrom 72 Cook v. TrumpCan Trump fire a Fed governor over pre-office mortgage fraud claims? Pl.Lowell & Associates +2Def.U.S. Department of Justice, Office of the Solicitor General D.D.C.1:25-cv-02903 Pre-trialD.D.C. Unquantified 48.0 36%Court blocks Cook’s removal Nov 6
67 9 places downfrom 58 Rhoney v. Barbosa da CunhaDoes federal law require mandatory detention without bond for long-present immigrants? Pl.Law Office of Paul O’Dwyer +2Def.Office of the Solicitor General, U.S. Department of Justice U.S. Supreme Court26-104 AppealU.S. Supreme Court Injunctive relief 48.0 56%Court upholds government’s reading Oct 16
68 9 places downfrom 59 Naftogaz v. Russia (Crimea)Naftogaz enforces its Crimea expropriation award against Russian state assets abroad Cl.Covington & Burling +1Resp.Not recorded PCA2017-16 EnforcementPCA ~$5B 48.4 46%Court confirms Naftogaz award Oct 28
69 9 places downfrom 60 Evergrande Liquidators v. PwCEvergrande’s liquidators allege PwC firms negligently audited the collapsed developer’s accounts Pl.Not recordedDef.Not recorded Hong Kong High Court Pre-trialHong Kong High Court $8.4B 47.6 43%PwC International denied leave Oct 22
70 9 places downfrom 61 Suncor v. Boulder CountyDoes federal law bar state-law climate damages suits against oil companies? Pl.Russell & Woofter +5Def.Davis Polk & Wardwell +1 U.S. Supreme Court25-170 AppealU.S. Supreme Court Unquantified 48.5 50%Court bars Boulder’s state-law claims Oct 5
71 6 places downfrom 65 Maceió Subsidence LitigationMaceió residents and Brazilian prosecutors pursue Braskem over salt-mine subsidence Pl.Pogust Goodhead +1Def.Not recorded Court of Appeal of The HagueECLI:NL:RBROT:2022:7549 AppealCourt of Appeal of The Hague $3.9B+ 48.0 32%Affirms parent, clears subsidiaries Aug 28
72 3 places downfrom 69 GLP-1 Products Liability MDLsPatients allege Ozempic and rival GLP-1 drugs cause gastrointestinal injuries and vision loss Pl.Seeger Weiss +2Def.Not recorded E.D. Pa. Pre-trialE.D. Pa. Unquantified 49.1 40%Court splits the claims Oct 13
73 2 places downfrom 71 ExxonMobil v. NetherlandsExxonMobil challenges Groningen closure and Dutch levies under the Energy Charter Treaty Cl.Freshfields Bruckhaus DeringerResp.Fietta ICSIDARB/24/44 Pre-hearingICSID €3.96B+ 49.8 47%Netherlands wins jurisdiction-first phase Sep 18
74 4 places downfrom 70 Devas v. Antrix and IndiaCan an award annulled at home be enforced abroad? Cl.Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher +1Resp.Curtis, Mallet-Prevost, Colt & Mosle 9th Cir.23-1201 Enforcement9th Cir. $2B+ 47.8 38%Court refuses to enforce annulled award Oct 16
75 9 places downfrom 66 Apple v. OpenAIApple accuses OpenAI and former employees of taking its hardware trade secrets Pl.Weil, Gotshal & MangesDef.Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan N.D. Cal.5:26-cv-07078 Pre-trialN.D. Cal. Injunctive relief 46.8 60%†Court enters injunction against OpenAI Oct 28
76 3 places downfrom 73 In re First Brands GroupBanks, funds, and creditors fight over losses from alleged First Brands receivables fraud Pl.Brown RudnickDef.Weil, Gotshal & Manges +2 Bankr. S.D. Tex. Pre-trialBankr. S.D. Tex. $10B+ 45.8 47%Western Alliance settles with Jefferies Oct 7
77 = Trump v. NYT and Dow JonesPresident Trump says The New York Times and Wall Street Journal defamed him Pl.BritoDef.Williams & Connolly +3 M.D. Fla.8:25-cv-02487 FiledM.D. Fla. $25B 45.4 62%WSJ suit dismissed with prejudice Aug 27
78 = DRC v. Rwanda (ICJ)DRC accuses Rwanda of genocide and rights abuses in eastern Congo Cl.Not recordedResp.Not recorded International Court of JusticeGeneral List No. 202 FiledInternational Court of Justice Unquantified 47.3 Insufficient evidence Sep 7
79 4 places upfrom 83 J&J Talc MDLPlaintiffs allege J&J’s talc-based baby powder caused their ovarian cancer Pl.Ashcraft & GerelDef.King & Spalding +1 D.N.J.MDL No. 2738 Pre-trial SettlingD.N.J. $5.5B proposed 48.5 57%J&J ovarian talc deal proceeds Oct 7
80 5 places downfrom 75 X Corp. v. Apple and OpenAIMusk’s X and SpaceXAI say OpenAI’s Apple deal locks Grok out of iPhones Pl.Axinn, Veltrop & Harkrider +3Def.Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz +1 N.D. Tex.4:25-cv-00914 Pre-trialN.D. Tex. Billions 43.2 35%†OpenAI defeats the claims Oct 21Next Jan 11, 2027
81 2 places downfrom 79 Anthropic v. Department of WarAnthropic says Pentagon blacklisted it for restricting Claude’s surveillance and weapons use Pl.WilmerHaleDef.U.S. Department of Justice, Civil Division, Appellate Staff D.C. Cir.3:26-cv-01996 AppealD.C. Cir. Injunctive relief 44.9 65%†Panel ruling for Pentagon stands Oct 13
82 6 places downfrom 76 Uber Sexual Assault MDLPassengers say Uber failed to protect them from sexual assaults by drivers Pl.Lieff Cabraser Heimann & Bernstein +2Def.Kirkland & Ellis +1 N.D. Cal.MDL No. 3084 TrialN.D. Cal. $1B+ 43.0 36%Uber agrees to global MDL settlement Oct 2
83 3 places downfrom 80 U.S. v. HuaweiProsecutors accuse Huawei of racketeering through Iran dealings and trade-secret theft Pros.U.S. Department of Justice / U.S. Attorney’s Office, EDNYDef.Jenner & Block +2 E.D.N.Y.1:18-cr-00457 TrialE.D.N.Y. Unquantified 43.4 85%Jury returns verdict in Huawei trial Oct 29
84 3 places downfrom 81 Bille and Ogale v. ShellNiger Delta communities accuse Shell of oil pollution and misleading court evidence Pl.Leigh Day +4Def.Debevoise & Plimpton +1 English High Court[2026] EWHC 2332 Pre-trialEnglish High Court Unquantified 44.1 38%Shell settles with the communities Sep 10Next Mar 2027
85 3 places downfrom 82 Alex Neill v. SonyUK gamers say Sony’s 30% store cut inflated PlayStation prices for years Pl.Milberg LondonDef.Linklaters UK Competition Appeal Tribunal1527/7/7/22 TrialUK Competition Appeal Tribunal £1.97B claim 45.8 47%Tribunal finds Sony abused dominance May 8
86 2 places downfrom 84 Mozambique v. PrivinvestMozambique pursues Privinvest, the Safa estate, and Safa’s widow over tuna bonds bribery Pl.Peters & PetersDef.Forsters English Court of Appeal[2024] EWHC 1957 EnforcementEnglish Court of Appeal ~$2.3B 44.3 63%Widow’s joinder becomes final Oct 21
87 2 places downfrom 85 Milieudefensie v. ShellNGOs seek court-ordered emissions cuts and a halt to Shell’s new oil fields Pl.Paulussen AdvocatenDef.De Brauw Blackstone Westbroek +1 Supreme Court of the NetherlandsHoge Raad 25/00497 AppealSupreme Court of the Netherlands Injunctive relief 43.2 64%Hoge Raad rejects Milieudefensie appeal Jul 17
88 1 places downfrom 87 FTX Collapse MDLFTX customers accuse promoters, lawyers, and auditors of enabling the exchange’s fraud Pl.The Moskowitz Law Firm +1Def.Not recorded S.D. Fla.MDL No. 3076 Pre-trial SettlingS.D. Fla. ~$11B losses 43.1 63%Court approves all three deals May 22
89 2 places upfrom 91 Notre Affaire à Tous v. TotalEnergiesDo TotalEnergies’ vigilance duties reach its customers’ emissions? Pl.Seattle AvocatsDef.A&O Shearman Paris Court of Appeal AppealParis Court of Appeal Injunctive relief 44.5 44%Court of Appeal upholds Scope 3 order Jul 27Next Jan 21, 2027
90 2 places upfrom 92 Naftogaz v. Gazprom (Transit)Naftogaz seeks to enforce a $1.37B transit-fee award against Gazprom Cl.Wikborg Rein +5Resp.Not recorded AIFC Court of Appeal EnforcementAIFC Court of Appeal $1.37B award 43.7 62%Court of Appeal upholds set-aside Sep 30
91 8 places upfrom 99 Crescent Petroleum v. NIOCCrescent pursues assets of Iran’s state oil company to enforce a $2.75B award Cl.McDermott Will & Emery UK +1Resp.Eversheds Sutherland UK Supreme Court[2023] EWCA Civ 826 EnforcementUK Supreme Court $2.75B 45.3 48%NIOC’s Supreme Court appeal fails Aug 2026Next Jan 26, 2027
92 8 places upfrom 100 FTX Trust v. Binance and ZhaoFTX’s estate seeks to claw back $1.76B paid to buy out Binance Pl.White & CaseDef.BakerHostetler Bankr. D. Del.Adv. Proc. No. 24-50222 Pre-trialBankr. D. Del. $1.76B clawback 45.9 45%Trust settles with Binance Nov 5
93 = Iraq v. TurkeyIraq seeks to enforce a $1.47B award against Turkey over Kurdish oil exports Cl.Cleary Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton +1Resp.King & Spalding International D.D.C.20273/AGF/ZF/AYZ/ELU EnforcementD.D.C. $1.47B 41.9 58%D.C. court confirms Iraq’s award Oct 28
94 5 places downfrom 89 Taction v. AppleApple challenges $5.72B verdict finding its Taptic Engine infringes Taction patents Pl.Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & SullivanDef.Fish & Richardson +1 S.D. Cal.3:21-cv-00812 DecisionS.D. Cal. $5.72B verdict 42.8 35%Court upholds full $5.72B verdict Nov 3
95 1 places downfrom 94 In re Tether & BitfinexCrypto buyers allege Tether and Bitfinex used unbacked USDT to inflate prices Pl.Selendy Gay +1Def.Debevoise & Plimpton S.D.N.Y.1:19-cv-09236 Pre-trialS.D.N.Y. Billions 41.2 38%Tether settles with purchaser classes Jul 2
96 8 places downfrom 88 LNG Offtakers v. Venture GlobalLNG buyers say Venture Global withheld contracted cargoes Cl.Not recordedResp.Not recorded ICC AwardICC $6B+ 38.6 43%Orlen wins liability finding Oct 7
97 2 places downfrom 95 GEMA v. OpenAIOpenAI appeals Munich ruling that ChatGPT infringes German song lyric copyrights Pl.RaueDef.Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan Munich Higher Regional CourtLG München I 42 O 14139/24 AppealMunich Higher Regional Court Unquantified 39.0 33%†Appeal court upholds GEMA’s win Jul 31
98 2 places downfrom 96 Uniper v. GazpromUniper seeks to enforce €13B award against Gazprom over undelivered gas Cl.Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & SullivanResp.Not recorded Ad hoc arbitral tribunal EnforcementAd hoc arbitral tribunal €13B+ award 39.0 88%No recovery by December 31, 2027 Jan 12
99 2 places downfrom 97 Samuels v. Lido DAOInvestors say Lido DAO’s venture backers are liable as general partners Pl.Gerstein Harrow +1Def.Latham & Watkins +2 N.D. Cal.3:23-cv-06492 Pre-trialN.D. Cal. Unquantified 37.4 31%Court grants funds summary judgment May 15
100 2 places downfrom 98 Perkins Coie v. DOJGovernment appeals rulings striking down Trump orders targeting law firms Pl.Cooley +2Def.Not recorded D.C. Cir.D.C. Cir. 25-5241 AppealD.C. Cir. Injunctive relief 36.2 50%D.C. Circuit upholds all four injunctions May 14

Stakes Impact Impact not rated yet, counted at 50 Timeliness. Bars are drawn to the 100-point scale. A case overtakes the one above it only when it leads by more than 2 points, so the order holds steady from day to day.

Latest event this week this month this quarter older. 10 weeks: the rank each week, No. 1 at the top, dashed line at No. 10.

AI forecasts are experimental: generated automatically from each case’s record, published without editorial review and scored publicly as cases resolve. How they are made. † Anthropic, which makes the forecasting model, is a party to the case, or competes with or has ties to a party.

Coming up From the case records

  1. U.S. v. MaduroCourt sets argument on motions to dismiss indictment
  2. Pampena v. MuskCourt sets claims filing deadline for class members
  3. X Corp. v. Apple and OpenAIJury trial scheduled to begin in Fort Worth
  4. Wintershall Dea v. Russia (II)Moscow Arbitrazh Court hears suit to bar arbitrator Poncet
  5. Notre Affaire à Tous v. TotalEnergiesParis Judicial Court sets compliance hearing on June 2026 judgment
  6. Crescent Petroleum v. NIOCUK Supreme Court hears appeals over NIOC House
  7. Bille and Ogale v. ShellLiability trial scheduled to begin
  8. U.S. v. MaduroTrial set to begin for Maduro and Flores

Latest developments Across the index

  1. Nov 11NextEra and Blasket v. SpainFiling Award creditors file consolidated appellee brief at D.C. Circuit
  2. Nov 10Trump v. BBCJudgment Judge Kuntz denies BBC motion to dismiss Trump defamation claim
  3. Nov 9Yukos v. RussiaOrder D.C. court stays enforcement suit pending D.C. Circuit ruling
  4. Nov 9Camp Lejeune Water LitigationOrder Second bellwether trial set to begin for veteran David Fancher
  5. Nov 6Cook v. TrumpOrder DOJ and Cook jointly seek pause of court proceedings
  6. Nov 5Nord Stream 2 v. EUJudgment CJEU dismisses Nord Stream 2’s appeal on gas directive
  7. Nov 5FTX Trust v. Binance and ZhaoOrder Binance and Zhao subpoena O’Leary, Lewis and BDO
  8. Nov 5Gormsen v. MetaOrder CAT orders Meta to disclose litigation cost evidence
  9. Nov 5Cook v. TrumpOrder Committee of inquiry schedules closed-door hearing on Cook allegations
  10. Nov 5Gormsen v. MetaOrder CAT lists case management conference

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Law firms Points across live cases

  1. 1Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan21.011 cases · biggest: AT1 Bondholders v. FINMA
  2. 2Latham & Watkins14.67 cases · biggest: States v. Live Nation
  3. 3Williams & Connolly10.95 cases · biggest: FTC v. Amazon
  4. 4Covington & Burling10.75 cases · biggest: FTC v. Amazon
  5. 5Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher10.55 cases · biggest: U.S. v. Apple (Smartphones)
  6. 6Lieff Cabraser Heimann & Bernstein8.74 cases · biggest: Social Media Addiction MDL
  7. 7Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer8.54 cases · biggest: U.S. v. Google (Ad Tech)
  8. 8Herbert Smith Freehills Kramer8.24 cases · biggest: Município de Mariana v. BHP

All firms

How the index works

30%Stakes, on a log scale. $1B scores 25, $10B scores 50, $100B scores 75.
50%Impact: precedent, systemic reach, people affected, public stakes and attention, each rated 0 to 4.
20%Timeliness: a recent development, a new filing or a decisive step within 90 days.

Cases enter the index for their stakes, their precedent and public interest, and their continuing activity, and every entry rests on public sources: court filings, published decisions, arbitral awards and reputable reporting. The live index holds at most 100 cases. Research agents find developments and a separate pass checks them against their sources before anything is published. Cases are re-checked roughly weekly. Forecasts publish automatically and are scored when their question resolves.

Methodology Forecast record Suggest a case

Previously on the index Decided, settled or concluded, unranked

  1. States v. Paramount SkydanceStates’ antitrust challenge to Paramount’s Warner Bros. Discovery merger awaits settlement approvalSettledSep 30$111B
  2. Michigan v. BPCourt dismisses Michigan claim that oil majors conspired against clean energyDecidedSep 22Unquantified
  3. U.S. v. AdaniBribery case against Adani the DOJ now wants droppedConcludedAug 10$250M+ bribes
  4. Purdue / Sackler SettlementPurdue’s $7.4B opioid settlement and Sackler releases take effectSettledNov 2025$7.4B
  5. Fannie/Freddie Shareholders v. FHFAShareholders win $812M over the Fannie–Freddie profit sweepDecidedAug 14, 2023$812M